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April 6, 2009   Potato Prices

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What is the "right" price for potatoes for processing?

In the classic model price is determined by supply and demand. Several models exist.

But the reality is even more complex. First of all, a major part of the potatoes for processing are sold based on contracts  resulting from sometimes tough and lengthy negotiations between potato processors and farmer representatives. (estimates by processor in NL, B). Furthermore, farmers organizations attempt to control the potato supply, a strategy that was recently quite successfully executed in North America by the United Potato Growers of North America and there are indications this approach is being "exported" to Europe.

Recently we see two new developments impacting potato pricing:

Indexing

Resources for Potato Prices:

A rather new phenomenon is to agree a contract price that is indexed for a number of key input costs for the farmer. In times where we see huge and sudden fluctuations in costs of oil and fertilizer, this makes a lot of sense and can at least protect the profitability for the farmers.

Vertical chain integration

What is vertical chain integration? The extreme version in potato processing would be a company growing their own potatoes, processing them into French fries and selling them in their own QSR chain. Well, I don’t think we will ever see the potato processors in the the foodservice industry. But growing their own potatoes?

The first time I asked myself if vertical chain integration would be an option for potato processors was a year ago, when Conagra Foods Lamb Weston bought Watts Brothers, a processor and grower of vegetables. 

Today, Simplot is probably the company with the most extensive growing operations. However, recently Lamb Weston is creating potato growing Joint ventures in the Pacific North West. In my opinion, this type of Joint ventures could very well become a significant “third option” of acquiring potatoes for processing: it provides the processor an opportunity for increased control over how potatoes are grown, what potatoes are grown (think about introduction of proprietary varieties!), logistical control and opportunities to tweak and optimize potato cultivation for processing without the need to communicate that knowledge to all supplying farmers. A tight potato supply resulting from supply management by potato grower organisations adds a financial incentive.

Having said that, I can only see it as part of (very) large scale operations such as exist in the Pacific North West. I don’t expect to see this in Europe.

So what will harvest 2009 bring?

Prices have been negotiated (and renegotiated) in the pacific north west and some negotiations are still under way at other locations. Volume for table potatoes in retail is likely to go up. Much will depend on the final volumes required by the potato processing industry. And although the (US) dehy sector shows weakness (see next Newsletter), I am more optimistic about the frozen potato sector after I read Conagra Foods (Lamb Weston) 3Q report: Although we heard worrying remarks from Lamb Weston about the markets for frozen potato products early January , the 3Q figures seem to indicate that business in the period December - February 2009 was not so bad after all.

Enjoy reading,

Paul van Eijck

Featured Event

Please take note of the fact that we recently added three auctions for processing equipment, mainly for snack food processing.

More Events...

Featured Market Research Report

Agricultural Products: Global Industry Guide
Datamonitor's Agricultural Products: Global Industry Guide is an essential resource for top-level data and analysis covering the agricultural products industry. It includes detailed data on market size and segmentation, textual analysis of the key trends and competitive landscape, and profiles of the leading companies. This incisive report provides expert analysis on a global, regional and country basis.

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Featured Book

 

 The international potato industryThe international potato industry
The international potato industry provides the most comprehensive picture yet available of the dynamics and structure of the global potato market at the beginning of the 21st century, and will be essential reading for all those new to or already involved in the potato and ancillary industries worldwide as well as for agricultural economists, fresh produce brokers and traders and national and international economic planning agencies.

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Featured Product

A self-testing kit to measure potato glucose content

Sugar content plays an essential part in the culinary and technological quality of potato tubers. It also depends on variety, maturity at harvesting and storage conditions. This simple kit can provide valuable management information.

  • For on-the-spot evaluation of optimal harvesting dates for potatoes destined to become crisps or French fries.
  • Harvest times, storage temperatures and potato handling can all be planned to ensure the highest quality.
  • Easy-to-use kit, requires no special training to use. Each test uses at least 20 potato tubers, representative of the bulk to be tested.

Read more...

More products

News

French Fries and Potato Specialties

United States McDonald's empieza a reducir el uso de pesticidas
United States McDonald's to take steps to cut potato pesticides
Belgium Ecofrost NV - A story full of enthusiasm!
United States Conagra Foods reports higher sales at Lamb Weston in 3Q (Nov 22-Feb 22)
United States Sweet Potato Fries boost sweet potatoes in Foodservice
Uruguay Quien y como empezo a producir papa frita en Uruguay?
United States National Potato Council - US frozen potato exports to Mexico will decline after truck funding elimination
United States Idaho Potato growers agree to modified contracts with Processors
United States Fries face competition in Tennessee school cafeterias with $1.4M veggie grant
Netherlands Burgemeester wil Frietmuseum bij Aviko
United States Conagra Foods Lamb Weston helps operator profitability with AmpliFRY
United States CONAGRA LAMB WESTON: An in-depth discussion with Mark Hayden, senior VP of supply chain and distribution sales

More News on French Fries and Potato Specialties

Chips and Snacks

United Kingdom United Biscuits appoints Paul Graham as UK Sales Director
United States Conagra Foods reports higher sales at Lamb Weston in 3Q (Nov 22-Feb 22)
Chile Dueño de primera procesadora industrial de papas fritas de USA visita Chile para explorar nuevos negocios
United States Why 7-Eleven is selling its own potato crisps
United States PepsiCo CEO Indra Nooyi gets $14.9M in '08, up from '07
United Kingdom Phileas Fogg uses RPM for nationwide supermarket programme
United Kingdom Real crisp success underlines consumer shift to hand-cooked crisps

More News on Chips and Snacks

Dehydrated Potato Products

More News on Dehydrated Potato Products

Potato Starch

China China Essence CEO increases stake in the company, comments on loan obligations
Peru Instalarán en Andahuaylas primera planta industrial de procesamiento de almidón de papa del Perú
Denmark KMC launches Fiberbind, functional potato fiber
Germany Avebe present at European Coatings show

More News on Potato Starch

Other Potato Products

United States Interview with Barry Young, co-owner of Boyd and Blair (potato) Vodka
Denmark KMC launches Fiberbind, functional potato fiber

More News on Other Potato Products

Ingredients for Potato Processing

United States Salt replacements could be deadly, say renal specialists

More News on Ingredients for Potato Processing

Processing Equipment

Belgium Ecofrost NV - A story full of enthusiasm!
United States Key Technology (KTEC) Announces Cost Reduction Actions
Australia Operator training and maintenance costs increase efficiency
Netherlands BMA Nederland B.V. appoints Marcel Kloesmeijer as Vice President Sales
Germany Flexible case packer aimed at snack manufacturers

More News on Processing Equipment

Potato Supply Chain

United States McDonald's empieza a reducir el uso de pesticidas
United States McDonald's to take steps to cut potato pesticides
Netherlands Talent (carvon) houdt kiemontwikkeling pootaardappelen onder controle
India Punjab faces potato glut again
United Kingdom Potato growers urged to consider nematode threat when renting land
New Zealand 2009 World Potato Congress Award Winners Recognized
Germany Deutsche Kartoffeln kommen spät in die Erde
New Zealand World Potato Congress opens in Christchurch, New Zealand
Netherlands Aantal aanmeldingen voor Stichting Poolfonds Aardappelen (SPA) stelt teleur
Netherlands Schade door ritnaalden, een toenemend probleem in de aardappelteelt
United States United States Potato Board Elects New Leadership during 2009 annual meeting
United States Idaho Potato growers agree to modified contracts with Processors
Mexico US Potato Growers hit by Mexican retaliation as US blocks access of Mexican Trucks
United States University of Maine cooperative extension program saves potato farmers 17 million
United States US Potato industry faces export challenges

More News on Potato Supply Chain

QSR Restaurants

United States McDonald's empieza a reducir el uso de pesticidas
United States McDonald's to take steps to cut potato pesticides
United States Menu-labeling bill withdrawn in Maryland
Argentina Arcos Dorados vendio más de US$3500 millones, un nuevo record para McDonald's en Latinoamerica
Italy Pizza-making machine has chefs in a spin
Argentina McDonald’s Latin America Sales Slow on Less Spending
Canada McDonald's Canada to turn off lights in support of Earth Hour
United States Sweet Potato Fries boost sweet potatoes in Foodservice
China Yum Brands buys stake in China restaurant chain Little Sheep
United States US Consumer spending plunges in early March
United States Restaurants may catch a break with falling costs
United States Conagra Foods Lamb Weston helps operator profitability with AmpliFRY
United States CONAGRA LAMB WESTON: An in-depth discussion with Mark Hayden, senior VP of supply chain and distribution sales

More News on QSR Restaurants

Health and Nutrition

United States Menu-labeling bill withdrawn in Maryland
United States Fries face competition in Tennessee school cafeterias with $1.4M veggie grant
United States Salt replacements could be deadly, say renal specialists

More News on Health and Nutrition

Energy and Environment

United States McDonald's empieza a reducir el uso de pesticidas
United States McDonald's to take steps to cut potato pesticides
United States Organic Trade Association praises talks on organic equivalency agreement between U.S. and Canada
United States ConAgra Foods presents its first Corporate Responsibility Report
Canada McDonald's Canada to turn off lights in support of Earth Hour
United Kingdom Carbon footprint labels should be displayed on new products say MPs
United States Restaurants may catch a break with falling costs
United States University of Maine cooperative extension program saves potato farmers 17 million

More News on Energy and Environment

Food Trends

United Kingdom Food Standards Agency reports on what people think about emerging food technologies
Italy Pizza-making machine has chefs in a spin
United States Why 7-Eleven is selling its own potato crisps
United States US Consumer spending plunges in early March
United States Restaurants may catch a break with falling costs

More News on Food Trends

New Companies

Ecofrost NV
Ecofrost NV is a young Belgian company, situated in Peruwelz, specializing in the production of frozen potato products, mainly deep-frozen french fries.
Belgium
Mister Bee Potato Chips Co
Mister Bee Potato Chips Co is the only potato chip manufacturer in West Virginia
United States
Valmaq
Valmaq manufactures equipment for the production of chips, minimally processed vegetables and snacks. Valmaq is located in Brazil
Brazil
Restrain Company Ltd
Restrain offers sprout inhibitions systems for the storage of potatoes and onions based on ethylene gas.
United Kingdom

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